Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.001005 0.001044 0.001083 0.001126 0.001172 0.001220 0.001272
2025-09-21 0.000930 0.000986 0.001045 0.001112 0.001186 0.001265 0.001358
2025-09-28 0.000877 0.000945 0.001019 0.001105 0.001203 0.001312 0.001444
2025-10-05 0.000815 0.000889 0.000971 0.001068 0.001182 0.001313 0.001475
2025-10-12 0.000779 0.000860 0.000950 0.001059 0.001191 0.001345 0.001542
2025-10-19 0.000754 0.000840 0.000938 0.001060 0.001209 0.001387 0.001623
2025-10-26 0.000727 0.000816 0.000920 0.001050 0.001212 0.001411 0.001681
2025-11-02 0.000708 0.000802 0.000912 0.001052 0.001229 0.001452 0.001762
2025-11-09 0.000687 0.000783 0.000897 0.001044 0.001233 0.001476 0.001821
2025-11-16 0.000665 0.000762 0.000878 0.001030 0.001229 0.001487 0.001862
2025-11-23 0.000658 0.000760 0.000882 0.001045 0.001261 0.001548 0.001977
2025-11-30 0.000648 0.000752 0.000880 0.001051 0.001281 0.001594 0.002071
2025-12-07 0.000631 0.000736 0.000866 0.001041 0.001282 0.001612 0.002128
2025-12-14 0.000613 0.000718 0.000849 0.001027 0.001275 0.001619 0.002169
2025-12-21 0.000599 0.000705 0.000837 0.001020 0.001277 0.001640 0.002230
2025-12-28 0.000575 0.000678 0.000808 0.000988 0.001241 0.001603 0.002199
2026-01-04 0.000562 0.000666 0.000796 0.000980 0.001241 0.001618 0.002251
2026-01-11 0.000554 0.000658 0.000792 0.000980 0.001252 0.001651 0.002335
2026-01-18 0.000542 0.000646 0.000780 0.000971 0.001249 0.001662 0.002383
2026-01-25 0.000535 0.000640 0.000777 0.000973 0.001261 0.001697 0.002475
2026-02-01 0.000525 0.000630 0.000768 0.000966 0.001260 0.001711 0.002530
2026-02-08 0.000513 0.000618 0.000755 0.000954 0.001252 0.001711 0.002561
2026-02-15 0.000511 0.000619 0.000760 0.000967 0.001281 0.001775 0.002715